Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

icon for AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
Politique·Élections Du 4 Novembre

AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre

Polymarket

$36,296 Vol.

Polymarket

$36,296 Vol.

Mark Lamb (R)

$20,823 Vol.

92%

Elizabeth Lee (D)

$15,473 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat’s strong Republican lean and his July 2026 primary victory. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, lies in the East Valley and supported Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024, earning “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from multiple forecasters. Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff, secured the GOP nomination with nearly 59 percent against a self-funded opponent, aided by Trump’s endorsement and superior name recognition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, a nurse who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this conservative stronghold. Late developments such as new legal or personal controversies could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited scope for an upset absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,296
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb holds a commanding lead in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District general election due to the seat’s strong Republican lean and his July 2026 primary victory. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, lies in the East Valley and supported Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024, earning “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from multiple forecasters. Lamb, the former Pinal County sheriff, secured the GOP nomination with nearly 59 percent against a self-funded opponent, aided by Trump’s endorsement and superior name recognition. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Lee, a nurse who won her primary by a wide margin, faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base in this conservative stronghold. Late developments such as new legal or personal controversies could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts indicate limited scope for an upset absent major shifts.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,296
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

Connexes

icon for Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la chambre AZ-06 ?

Le Parti démocrate remportera-t-il le siège de la chambre AZ-06 ?

83%
Oui
icon for Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre PA-05 ?

Le Parti démocrate va-t-il remporter le siège de la Chambre PA-05 ?

98%
Oui
icon for Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du TX-05 ?

Le Parti républicain remportera-t-il le siège de la Chambre du TX-05 ?

92%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mark Lamb (R) » à 92%, suivi de « Elizabeth Lee (D) » à 9%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » a généré $36.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 28, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » est « Mark Lamb (R) » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elizabeth Lee (D) » à 9%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « AZ-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.