Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, driven by consistent polling advantages and stronger fundraising. Recent surveys, including a June House Majority PAC poll, showed her ahead 47-45 percent, expanding to 52-44 percent after voters received balanced information on both candidates. Mendoza has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall, with totals reaching $7.35 million versus his $6.17 million as of early July, supporting robust campaign operations ahead of the November 3 general election. Ciscomani’s favorability remains underwater at 29 percent favorable to 46 percent unfavorable, while the district’s toss-up rating reflects its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests. A September 10 debate highlighted differences on costs, healthcare, and veterans’ issues, though no major shifts have altered the current market positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$11,735 Vol.
$11,735 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
19%
$11,735 Vol.
$11,735 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
$4,019 Vol.
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
$7,717 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, driven by consistent polling advantages and stronger fundraising. Recent surveys, including a June House Majority PAC poll, showed her ahead 47-45 percent, expanding to 52-44 percent after voters received balanced information on both candidates. Mendoza has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall, with totals reaching $7.35 million versus his $6.17 million as of early July, supporting robust campaign operations ahead of the November 3 general election. Ciscomani’s favorability remains underwater at 29 percent favorable to 46 percent unfavorable, while the district’s toss-up rating reflects its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests. A September 10 debate highlighted differences on costs, healthcare, and veterans’ issues, though no major shifts have altered the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$11,735Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, driven by consistent polling advantages and stronger fundraising. Recent surveys, including a June House Majority PAC poll, showed her ahead 47-45 percent, expanding to 52-44 percent after voters received balanced information on both candidates. Mendoza has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall, with totals reaching $7.35 million versus his $6.17 million as of early July, supporting robust campaign operations ahead of the November 3 general election. Ciscomani’s favorability remains underwater at 29 percent favorable to 46 percent unfavorable, while the district’s toss-up rating reflects its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests. A September 10 debate highlighted differences on costs, healthcare, and veterans’ issues, though no major shifts have altered the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,735Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, driven by consistent polling advantages and stronger fundraising. Recent surveys, including a June House Majority PAC poll, showed her ahead 47-45 percent, expanding to 52-44 percent after voters received balanced information on both candidates. Mendoza has outraised incumbent Juan Ciscomani overall, with totals reaching $7.35 million versus his $6.17 million as of early July, supporting robust campaign operations ahead of the November 3 general election. Ciscomani’s favorability remains underwater at 29 percent favorable to 46 percent unfavorable, while the district’s toss-up rating reflects its narrow partisan balance and history of close contests. A September 10 debate highlighted differences on costs, healthcare, and veterans’ issues, though no major shifts have altered the current market positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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