Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
AL-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$47,741 Vol.
$47,741 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,741 Vol.
$47,741 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,355 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,741Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,741Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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