Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedParaíba Senate Election: 2nd Place
Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place
Veneziano 61%
Nabor 31%
Adriano Trajano 3.3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.7%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
61%
Nabor
31%
Adriano Trajano
3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
3%
Major Fábio
1%
Joao Azevêdo
1%
Rosilene Santana
1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
André Gadelha
<1%
João Batista
<1%
Veneziano 61%
Nabor 31%
Adriano Trajano 3.3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 2.7%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
$9,025 Vol.
61%
Nabor
$3,440 Vol.
31%
Adriano Trajano
$1,536 Vol.
3%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$602 Vol.
3%
Major Fábio
$428 Vol.
1%
Joao Azevêdo
$516 Vol.
1%
Rosilene Santana
$402 Vol.
1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$364 Vol.
<1%
André Gadelha
$452 Vol.
<1%
João Batista
$459 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$17,223End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,223End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking reelection, holds a 61% implied probability for second place in the Paraíba Senate race according to trader consensus. Polling throughout August and early September consistently positions former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the frontrunner for first place, with Veneziano trailing but well ahead of the field in consolidated first- and second-vote intentions. Other registered candidates—including Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL), Major Fábio (Novo), and André Gadelha (MDB)—register single-digit or low-double-digit support in the same surveys, reflecting limited momentum. With the October 4 election approaching and no major shifts in recent polling, traders view Veneziano’s established name recognition and coalition backing as the primary factors anchoring his position as the most likely runner-up.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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