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icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
World·Bosnia And Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

icon for Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
World·Bosnia And Herzegovina

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH 42%

HDZ BiH 38%

NiP 37%

DF 30%

Polymarket
NEW

SDP BiH 42%

HDZ BiH 38%

NiP 37%

DF 30%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for SDP BiH

SDP BiH

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for HDZ BiH

HDZ BiH

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for NiP

NiP

$0 Vol.

37%

icon for DF

DF

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for SNSD

SNSD

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for SDS

SDS

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for SDA

SDA

$0 Vol.

26%

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina's October 4, 2026, general election features a highly fragmented contest for third place in the 42-seat state House of Representatives, where proportional representation across ethnic lines amplifies small shifts in voter support among Bosniak, Croat, and Serb parties. Recent polling averages place SDA ahead in the Federation but with modest leads over SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and NiP, while SNSD and SDS hold firmer ground in Republika Srpska; coalition realignments after the 2022-2025 governing arrangement collapsed have further blurred traditional hierarchies. Candidate list finalization, biometric voting rollout, and ongoing attempts to build alternative parliamentary majorities have kept momentum fluid without decisive separation. Minor swings in turnout among key voting blocs, last-minute coalition pacts, or regional variations in the Federation could reorder the middle pack, as the threshold and compensatory mandates reward narrow margins in multi-constituency voting.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina's October 4, 2026, general election features a highly fragmented contest for third place in the 42-seat state House of Representatives, where proportional representation across ethnic lines amplifies small shifts in voter support among Bosniak, Croat, and Serb parties. Recent polling averages place SDA ahead in the Federation but with modest leads over SDP BiH, HDZ BiH, and NiP, while SNSD and SDS hold firmer ground in Republika Srpska; coalition realignments after the 2022-2025 governing arrangement collapsed have further blurred traditional hierarchies. Candidate list finalization, biometric voting rollout, and ongoing attempts to build alternative parliamentary majorities have kept momentum fluid without decisive separation. Minor swings in turnout among key voting blocs, last-minute coalition pacts, or regional variations in the Federation could reorder the middle pack, as the threshold and compensatory mandates reward narrow margins in multi-constituency voting.

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "SDP BiH" at 42%, followed by "HDZ BiH" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" is "SDP BiH" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "HDZ BiH" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.