The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel split from the prior Zionist Home partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s slate, faces a tight race near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 vote. Latest polls from KAN and Maariv project roughly four seats, drawing support from centre-right and reservist voters focused on conscription equity, economic reforms such as VAT cuts, and a broad Zionist coalition excluding Haredi or Arab parties. Earlier surveys showed the grouping below the threshold or around 2-3%, while bloc dynamics and competition from Yashar, Likud, and smaller right-wing lists create ongoing volatility. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around 3.25-4.25% because recent polling shifts and the new partnership’s untested voter base leave limited room for decisive separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.25-3.75% 48%
4.25%+ 37%
<2.75% 35%
3.75-4.25% 34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
35%
2.75-3.25%
30%
3.25-3.75%
48%
3.75-4.25%
34%
4.25%+
37%
3.25-3.75% 48%
4.25%+ 37%
<2.75% 35%
3.75-4.25% 34%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<2.75%
$0 Vol.
35%
2.75-3.25%
$0 Vol.
30%
3.25-3.75%
$0 Vol.
48%
3.75-4.25%
$0 Vol.
34%
4.25%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel split from the prior Zionist Home partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s slate, faces a tight race near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 vote. Latest polls from KAN and Maariv project roughly four seats, drawing support from centre-right and reservist voters focused on conscription equity, economic reforms such as VAT cuts, and a broad Zionist coalition excluding Haredi or Arab parties. Earlier surveys showed the grouping below the threshold or around 2-3%, while bloc dynamics and competition from Yashar, Likud, and smaller right-wing lists create ongoing volatility. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around 3.25-4.25% because recent polling shifts and the new partnership’s untested voter base leave limited room for decisive separation before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel split from the prior Zionist Home partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s slate, faces a tight race near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 vote. Latest polls from KAN and Maariv project roughly four seats, drawing support from centre-right and reservist voters focused on conscription equity, economic reforms such as VAT cuts, and a broad Zionist coalition excluding Haredi or Arab parties. Earlier surveys showed the grouping below the threshold or around 2-3%, while bloc dynamics and competition from Yashar, Likud, and smaller right-wing lists create ongoing volatility. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around 3.25-4.25% because recent polling shifts and the new partnership’s untested voter base leave limited room for decisive separation before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Reservists – New Economic Party party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Reservists – New Economic Party's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Reservists – New Economic Party passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Reservists – New Economic Party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Reservists – New Economic Party merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 5:21 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Reservists–New Economic Party alliance, formed in early September 2026 after Yoaz Hendel split from the prior Zionist Home partnership and joined Yaron Zelekha’s slate, faces a tight race near Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold ahead of the October 27 vote. Latest polls from KAN and Maariv project roughly four seats, drawing support from centre-right and reservist voters focused on conscription equity, economic reforms such as VAT cuts, and a broad Zionist coalition excluding Haredi or Arab parties. Earlier surveys showed the grouping below the threshold or around 2-3%, while bloc dynamics and competition from Yashar, Likud, and smaller right-wing lists create ongoing volatility. Trader consensus clusters probabilities tightly around 3.25-4.25% because recent polling shifts and the new partnership’s untested voter base leave limited room for decisive separation before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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