Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election features a fragmented, entity-based proportional system that splits voter pools between the Federation and Republika Srpska, producing closely matched probabilities for second place among HDZ BiH, DF, SDA, NiP, SDS, SDP BiH, and SNSD. Recent coalition fractures since early 2025, combined with the introduction of biometric verification and electronic counting, have kept support fluid without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Ongoing EU accession pressures and international monitoring have reinforced focus on seat totals rather than major shifts, leaving trader consensus tight until final turnout and cross-entity dynamics resolve on election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
NiP 49%
DF 46%
HDZ BiH 45%
SNSD 42%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
NiP
49%
DF
46%
HDZ BiH
45%
SNSD
42%
SDA
28%
SDP BiH
44%
SDS
36%
NiP 49%
DF 46%
HDZ BiH 45%
SNSD 42%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
NiP
$0 Vol.
49%
DF
$0 Vol.
46%
HDZ BiH
$0 Vol.
45%
SNSD
$0 Vol.
42%
SDA
$0 Vol.
28%
SDP BiH
$10 Vol.
44%
SDS
$28 Vol.
36%
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election features a fragmented, entity-based proportional system that splits voter pools between the Federation and Republika Srpska, producing closely matched probabilities for second place among HDZ BiH, DF, SDA, NiP, SDS, SDP BiH, and SNSD. Recent coalition fractures since early 2025, combined with the introduction of biometric verification and electronic counting, have kept support fluid without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Ongoing EU accession pressures and international monitoring have reinforced focus on seat totals rather than major shifts, leaving trader consensus tight until final turnout and cross-entity dynamics resolve on election night.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$38End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election features a fragmented, entity-based proportional system that splits voter pools between the Federation and Republika Srpska, producing closely matched probabilities for second place among HDZ BiH, DF, SDA, NiP, SDS, SDP BiH, and SNSD. Recent coalition fractures since early 2025, combined with the introduction of biometric verification and electronic counting, have kept support fluid without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Ongoing EU accession pressures and international monitoring have reinforced focus on seat totals rather than major shifts, leaving trader consensus tight until final turnout and cross-entity dynamics resolve on election night.
General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).
Volume
$38End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4 general election features a fragmented, entity-based proportional system that splits voter pools between the Federation and Republika Srpska, producing closely matched probabilities for second place among HDZ BiH, DF, SDA, NiP, SDS, SDP BiH, and SNSD. Recent coalition fractures since early 2025, combined with the introduction of biometric verification and electronic counting, have kept support fluid without clear consolidation behind any single challenger. Ongoing EU accession pressures and international monitoring have reinforced focus on seat totals rather than major shifts, leaving trader consensus tight until final turnout and cross-entity dynamics resolve on election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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