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icon for Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

icon for Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

Polymarket

$93,879 Vol.

Polymarket

$93,879 Vol.

David Morales

$56,483 Vol.

Yes

Brett Smiley

$37,396 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Representative David Morales secured the Democratic nomination for Providence mayor after defeating incumbent Brett Smiley in the September 9 primary by a roughly 54-43 percent margin. Morales built support through grassroots organizing, social media outreach, and endorsements from U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders, U.S. Representative Ro Khanna, SEIU, the Providence Teachers Union, and former Mayor Jorge Elorza. His platform centered on rent stabilization, expanded affordable housing, and higher taxes on corporate polluters and landlords, tapping voter concerns over housing costs in a solidly Democratic city. Smiley highlighted his record on pre-K expansion and city management but could not overcome the progressive challenge. The decisive primary outcome leaves limited pathways for other candidates to alter the nomination result before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$93,879
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:34 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Representative David Morales secured the Democratic nomination for Providence mayor after defeating incumbent Brett Smiley in the September 9 primary by a roughly 54-43 percent margin. Morales built support through grassroots organizing, social media outreach, and endorsements from U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders, U.S. Representative Ro Khanna, SEIU, the Providence Teachers Union, and former Mayor Jorge Elorza. His platform centered on rent stabilization, expanded affordable housing, and higher taxes on corporate polluters and landlords, tapping voter concerns over housing costs in a solidly Democratic city. Smiley highlighted his record on pre-K expansion and city management but could not overcome the progressive challenge. The decisive primary outcome leaves limited pathways for other candidates to alter the nomination result before the November general election.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$93,879
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:34 PM ET

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Morales" at 100%, followed by "Brett Smiley" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" has generated $93.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" is "David Morales" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brett Smiley" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.