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icon for French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Elections·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

icon for French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place
Elections·France

French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

Olivier Faure 36%

Philippe Brun 34%

Ségolène Royal 31%

Raphaël Glucksmann 29%

Polymarket
NEW

Olivier Faure 36%

Philippe Brun 34%

Ségolène Royal 31%

Raphaël Glucksmann 29%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Philippe Brun

Philippe Brun

$20 Vol.

34%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$20 Vol.

31%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$20 Vol.

29%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$38 Vol.

30%

icon for Emmanuel Maurel

Emmanuel Maurel

$71 Vol.

12%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$189
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The fragmented field in the October 2026 French Socialist primary, with declarations closing mid-September, keeps the contest for first-round second place tightly balanced according to trader pricing. Olivier Faure’s late-August entry as PS first secretary, alongside Philippe Brun and Ségolène Royal, has created overlapping support bases among party members and Place publique voters, while Raphaël Glucksmann’s stronger polling position positions him as the likely leader. Recent internal tensions over debate formats and potential inclusion of outsiders such as François Ruffin have not yet consolidated preferences behind any single challenger. Upcoming candidate forums and parrainage thresholds in the coming weeks could shift momentum among the mid-tier contenders before electronic voting begins.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$189
End Date
Oct 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Olivier Faure" at 36%, followed by "Philippe Brun" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" is "Olivier Faure" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Philippe Brun" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.