The 2026 French Socialist Party primary, scheduled for first-round voting October 9-10, features a fragmented field of declared candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, PS first secretary Olivier Faure, deputies Philippe Brun and Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel of the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with no single contender holding a commanding position amid parrainage thresholds, electronic voting rules, and a 15-euro participation fee that some view as restrictive. Recent developments include Faure’s late entry sharpening competition against Glucksmann, public calls from PS elected officials to broaden the contest to figures such as François Ruffin, and LFI’s decision to remain outside the process. These dynamics, combined with internal debates over alliances and strategy ahead of the 2027 presidential election, sustain the closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRaphaël Glucksmann 41%
Jérôme Guedj 27%
Philippe Brun 27%
Olivier Faure 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 10, 2026
Raphaël Glucksmann
41%
Jérôme Guedj
27%
Philippe Brun
27%
Olivier Faure
26%
Emmanuel Maurel
21%
Ségolène Royal
18%
Raphaël Glucksmann 41%
Jérôme Guedj 27%
Philippe Brun 27%
Olivier Faure 26%
NEW
NEW
Oct 10, 2026
Raphaël Glucksmann
$0 Vol.
41%
Jérôme Guedj
$0 Vol.
27%
Philippe Brun
$0 Vol.
27%
Olivier Faure
$0 Vol.
26%
Emmanuel Maurel
$0 Vol.
21%
Ségolène Royal
$0 Vol.
18%
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The 2026 French Socialist Party primary, scheduled for first-round voting October 9-10, features a fragmented field of declared candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, PS first secretary Olivier Faure, deputies Philippe Brun and Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel of the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with no single contender holding a commanding position amid parrainage thresholds, electronic voting rules, and a 15-euro participation fee that some view as restrictive. Recent developments include Faure’s late entry sharpening competition against Glucksmann, public calls from PS elected officials to broaden the contest to figures such as François Ruffin, and LFI’s decision to remain outside the process. These dynamics, combined with internal debates over alliances and strategy ahead of the 2027 presidential election, sustain the closely matched probabilities.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The 2026 French Socialist Party primary, scheduled for first-round voting October 9-10, features a fragmented field of declared candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, PS first secretary Olivier Faure, deputies Philippe Brun and Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel of the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with no single contender holding a commanding position amid parrainage thresholds, electronic voting rules, and a 15-euro participation fee that some view as restrictive. Recent developments include Faure’s late entry sharpening competition against Glucksmann, public calls from PS elected officials to broaden the contest to figures such as François Ruffin, and LFI’s decision to remain outside the process. These dynamics, combined with internal debates over alliances and strategy ahead of the 2027 presidential election, sustain the closely matched probabilities.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.
If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 10, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 French Socialist Party primary, scheduled for first-round voting October 9-10, features a fragmented field of declared candidates including Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique, PS first secretary Olivier Faure, deputies Philippe Brun and Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, and Emmanuel Maurel of the Gauche républicaine et socialiste. Trader odds reflect this dispersion, with no single contender holding a commanding position amid parrainage thresholds, electronic voting rules, and a 15-euro participation fee that some view as restrictive. Recent developments include Faure’s late entry sharpening competition against Glucksmann, public calls from PS elected officials to broaden the contest to figures such as François Ruffin, and LFI’s decision to remain outside the process. These dynamics, combined with internal debates over alliances and strategy ahead of the 2027 presidential election, sustain the closely matched probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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