Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,579 交易量
$21,579 交易量
2026-11-02
孟昭文（民主党）
95%
周浩伟（共和党）
6%
$21,579 交易量
$21,579 交易量
2026-11-02
孟昭文（民主党）
$10,007 交易量
95%
周浩伟（共和党）
$11,572 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$21,579结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,579结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETIncumbent Grace Meng secured renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 6th Congressional District with roughly 57 percent of the vote against challenger Chuck Park, while Joseph Chou advanced unopposed on the Republican side. The solidly Democratic Queens-based district, with its Asian-American plurality and consistent support for Democratic candidates, underpins trader consensus on Meng’s commanding position ahead of the November 3 general election. Her substantial fundraising edge and committee seniority further reinforce the implied probability reflected in current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national partisan shift, unusually high Republican turnout, or late-breaking developments such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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