**Amish Shah holds a strong position in the AZ-01 race due to the open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor, combined with Shah’s narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition in the Scottsdale-north Phoenix district.** Shah defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July 2026 Democratic primary, demonstrating grassroots strength that aligns with voter frustration toward national party preferences in other primaries. The district’s competitive profile—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024—has drawn significant national attention and fundraising, with Shah emphasizing door-to-door outreach, health care affordability, and housing costs. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL kicker, won his primary by leveraging that backing and appealing to independents on tax cuts, deregulation, and inflation. The seat features a Republican registration edge but a large pool of independents, making turnout and messaging on affordability central to the November 3 general election outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the structural advantages of an open seat in a battleground area where Democrats have targeted resources. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,467 交易量
$10,467 交易量
2026-11-03
阿米什·沙阿（民主党）
75%
杰伊·菲利 (共和党)
26%
$10,467 交易量
$10,467 交易量
2026-11-03
阿米什·沙阿（民主党）
$8,181 交易量
75%
杰伊·菲利 (共和党)
$2,286 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Amish Shah holds a strong position in the AZ-01 race due to the open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor, combined with Shah’s narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition in the Scottsdale-north Phoenix district.** Shah defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July 2026 Democratic primary, demonstrating grassroots strength that aligns with voter frustration toward national party preferences in other primaries. The district’s competitive profile—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024—has drawn significant national attention and fundraising, with Shah emphasizing door-to-door outreach, health care affordability, and housing costs.
Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL kicker, won his primary by leveraging that backing and appealing to independents on tax cuts, deregulation, and inflation. The seat features a Republican registration edge but a large pool of independents, making turnout and messaging on affordability central to the November 3 general election outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the structural advantages of an open seat in a battleground area where Democrats have targeted resources. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
交易量
$10,467结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Amish Shah holds a strong position in the AZ-01 race due to the open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor, combined with Shah’s narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition in the Scottsdale-north Phoenix district.** Shah defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July 2026 Democratic primary, demonstrating grassroots strength that aligns with voter frustration toward national party preferences in other primaries. The district’s competitive profile—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024—has drawn significant national attention and fundraising, with Shah emphasizing door-to-door outreach, health care affordability, and housing costs.
Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL kicker, won his primary by leveraging that backing and appealing to independents on tax cuts, deregulation, and inflation. The seat features a Republican registration edge but a large pool of independents, making turnout and messaging on affordability central to the November 3 general election outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the structural advantages of an open seat in a battleground area where Democrats have targeted resources. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,467结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET**Amish Shah holds a strong position in the AZ-01 race due to the open seat created by Republican incumbent David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor, combined with Shah’s narrow 2024 loss and established name recognition in the Scottsdale-north Phoenix district.** Shah defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July 2026 Democratic primary, demonstrating grassroots strength that aligns with voter frustration toward national party preferences in other primaries. The district’s competitive profile—Trump carried it by roughly three points in 2024—has drawn significant national attention and fundraising, with Shah emphasizing door-to-door outreach, health care affordability, and housing costs. Jay Feely, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee and former NFL kicker, won his primary by leveraging that backing and appealing to independents on tax cuts, deregulation, and inflation. The seat features a Republican registration edge but a large pool of independents, making turnout and messaging on affordability central to the November 3 general election outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up or lean Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears driven by the structural advantages of an open seat in a battleground area where Democrats have targeted resources. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the race since the primaries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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