Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent, having secured his party's nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong performance by Donald Trump in 2024. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge—over $4 million raised compared to Danny Minton's roughly $44,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Minton advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,755 交易量
$52,755 交易量
2026-11-02
杰克·埃尔齐 (共和党)
96%
丹尼·明顿（民主党）
5%
$52,755 交易量
$52,755 交易量
2026-11-02
杰克·埃尔齐 (共和党)
$25,764 交易量
96%
丹尼·明顿（民主党）
$26,991 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent, having secured his party's nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong performance by Donald Trump in 2024. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge—over $4 million raised compared to Danny Minton's roughly $44,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Minton advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$52,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent, having secured his party's nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong performance by Donald Trump in 2024. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge—over $4 million raised compared to Danny Minton's roughly $44,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Minton advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETJake Ellzey holds a commanding position in the Texas 6th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent, having secured his party's nomination with 66 percent in the March 2026 primary against two challengers. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles, including strong performance by Donald Trump in 2024. Ellzey's substantial fundraising edge—over $4 million raised compared to Danny Minton's roughly $44,000—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election. Minton advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts could theoretically alter the trajectory, though none have emerged in recent months to narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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