The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,328 交易量
$12,328 交易量
2026-11-02
德里克·施密特（共和党）
95%
唐·库弗（民主党）
5%
$12,328 交易量
$12,328 交易量
2026-11-02
德里克·施密特（共和党）
$6,967 交易量
95%
唐·库弗（民主党）
$5,360 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,328结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,328结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThe strong Republican lean of Kansas's 2nd Congressional District, reflected in its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Derek Schmidt secured the party nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 80% of the vote, positioning him against Democratic nominee Don Coover in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. Limited public polling and the absence of major national shifts or district-specific controversies have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for such reversals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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