Incumbent Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid multiple Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Correa's prior 63 percent general-election margin. His substantial fundraising edge and cash reserves further reinforce trader consensus around his re-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics in the final weeks, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,224 交易量
$24,224 交易量
2026-11-02
卢·科雷亚（民主党）
95%
大卫·潘（共和党）
6%
$24,224 交易量
$24,224 交易量
2026-11-02
卢·科雷亚（民主党）
$4,687 交易量
95%
大卫·潘（共和党）
$19,536 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid multiple Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Correa's prior 63 percent general-election margin. His substantial fundraising edge and cash reserves further reinforce trader consensus around his re-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics in the final weeks, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid multiple Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Correa's prior 63 percent general-election margin. His substantial fundraising edge and cash reserves further reinforce trader consensus around his re-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics in the final weeks, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$24,224结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Lou Correa holds a commanding position in California's 46th Congressional District ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's Democratic lean and his established record since 2017. Correa advanced comfortably from the June 2 top-two primary with roughly 52 percent, outpacing Republican David Pan at 33 percent amid multiple Democratic challengers. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Correa's prior 63 percent general-election margin. His substantial fundraising edge and cash reserves further reinforce trader consensus around his re-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national shift could still alter dynamics in the final weeks, though the current environment shows limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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