The IA-01 contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan, with the district's narrow 2024 margin and toss-up ratings from most forecasters driving trader positioning. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June 2 primaries, clearing the field for a general election focused on affordability, healthcare access, and midterm dynamics under the current administration. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by low single digits, consistent with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and national headwinds including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures. Comparable fundraising totals exceeding $7 million each underscore the race's competitiveness, while the November 3 timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment to influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,062 交易量
$28,062 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南（民主党）
72%
玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯（共和党）
29%
$28,062 交易量
$28,062 交易量
2026-11-03
克里斯蒂娜·博哈南（民主党）
$18,372 交易量
72%
玛丽安内特·米勒-米克斯（共和党）
$9,690 交易量
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan, with the district's narrow 2024 margin and toss-up ratings from most forecasters driving trader positioning. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June 2 primaries, clearing the field for a general election focused on affordability, healthcare access, and midterm dynamics under the current administration. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by low single digits, consistent with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and national headwinds including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures. Comparable fundraising totals exceeding $7 million each underscore the race's competitiveness, while the November 3 timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
交易量
$28,062结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-01 contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan, with the district's narrow 2024 margin and toss-up ratings from most forecasters driving trader positioning. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June 2 primaries, clearing the field for a general election focused on affordability, healthcare access, and midterm dynamics under the current administration. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by low single digits, consistent with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and national headwinds including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures. Comparable fundraising totals exceeding $7 million each underscore the race's competitiveness, while the November 3 timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,062结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETThe IA-01 contest features a rematch between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan, with the district's narrow 2024 margin and toss-up ratings from most forecasters driving trader positioning. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the June 2 primaries, clearing the field for a general election focused on affordability, healthcare access, and midterm dynamics under the current administration. Recent polling averages show Bohannan ahead by low single digits, consistent with Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee targeting and national headwinds including elevated consumer prices and foreign policy pressures. Comparable fundraising totals exceeding $7 million each underscore the race's competitiveness, while the November 3 timeline leaves room for late shifts in voter turnout or economic sentiment to influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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