Rebecca Bennett secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has since raised over $4 million while earning placement on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list, positioning her as the frontrunner in this competitive swing district. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress—missing roughly 140 votes due to a health issue that kept him out of public view from early March until late June—has drawn sustained scrutiny and shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean or tilt. The district’s recent electoral volatility, including narrow margins in prior cycles, combined with Bennett’s military background and early polling edges, has shaped trader consensus around her stronger positioning heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,871 交易量
$18,871 交易量
2026-11-03
丽贝卡·贝内特（民主党）
76%
小托马斯·基恩（共和党）
22%
$18,871 交易量
$18,871 交易量
2026-11-03
丽贝卡·贝内特（民主党）
$4,143 交易量
76%
小托马斯·基恩（共和党）
$14,728 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has since raised over $4 million while earning placement on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list, positioning her as the frontrunner in this competitive swing district. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress—missing roughly 140 votes due to a health issue that kept him out of public view from early March until late June—has drawn sustained scrutiny and shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean or tilt. The district’s recent electoral volatility, including narrow margins in prior cycles, combined with Bennett’s military background and early polling edges, has shaped trader consensus around her stronger positioning heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$18,871结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rebecca Bennett secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has since raised over $4 million while earning placement on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list, positioning her as the frontrunner in this competitive swing district. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress—missing roughly 140 votes due to a health issue that kept him out of public view from early March until late June—has drawn sustained scrutiny and shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean or tilt. The district’s recent electoral volatility, including narrow margins in prior cycles, combined with Bennett’s military background and early polling edges, has shaped trader consensus around her stronger positioning heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,871结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRebecca Bennett secured the Democratic nomination in June after a strong primary performance and has since raised over $4 million while earning placement on the DCCC’s Red to Blue list, positioning her as the frontrunner in this competitive swing district. Incumbent Thomas Kean Jr.’s prolonged absence from Congress—missing roughly 140 votes due to a health issue that kept him out of public view from early March until late June—has drawn sustained scrutiny and shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean or tilt. The district’s recent electoral volatility, including narrow margins in prior cycles, combined with Bennett’s military background and early polling edges, has shaped trader consensus around her stronger positioning heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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