Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,137 交易量
$14,137 交易量
2026-11-02
Dave Min（民主党）
95%
詹妮·勒鲁（共和党）
6%
$14,137 交易量
$14,137 交易量
2026-11-02
Dave Min（民主党）
$3,261 交易量
95%
詹妮·勒鲁（共和党）
$10,876 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$14,137结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,137结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district, where he advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 45% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Rae Le Roux at 25%. The district's mixed voter registration and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters reflect Min's incumbency edge, established fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and the area's recent electoral patterns favoring Democrats. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the absence of major late-cycle disruptions or shifts in polling dynamics ahead of the November general election. A narrow upset would require an unforeseen national partisan wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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