Mark Lamb's commanding position in the AZ-05 race stems primarily from the district's consistent Republican lean, with prior margins exceeding 20 points and a 2024 presidential performance favoring the GOP by roughly that spread. As the open seat vacated by Andy Biggs, the East Valley district delivered Lamb a decisive July primary win over Daniel Keenan after Trump endorsement and strong fundraising exceeding $1 million, far outpacing Elizabeth Lee's totals. Traders assign high implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing on November 3 despite prior allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the primary cycle. Late developments such as renewed scrutiny of those claims, health issues, national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,296 交易量
$36,296 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·兰姆（共和党）
92%
伊丽莎白·李（民主党）
9%
$36,296 交易量
$36,296 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·兰姆（共和党）
$20,823 交易量
92%
伊丽莎白·李（民主党）
$15,473 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb's commanding position in the AZ-05 race stems primarily from the district's consistent Republican lean, with prior margins exceeding 20 points and a 2024 presidential performance favoring the GOP by roughly that spread. As the open seat vacated by Andy Biggs, the East Valley district delivered Lamb a decisive July primary win over Daniel Keenan after Trump endorsement and strong fundraising exceeding $1 million, far outpacing Elizabeth Lee's totals. Traders assign high implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing on November 3 despite prior allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the primary cycle. Late developments such as renewed scrutiny of those claims, health issues, national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$36,296结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Lamb's commanding position in the AZ-05 race stems primarily from the district's consistent Republican lean, with prior margins exceeding 20 points and a 2024 presidential performance favoring the GOP by roughly that spread. As the open seat vacated by Andy Biggs, the East Valley district delivered Lamb a decisive July primary win over Daniel Keenan after Trump endorsement and strong fundraising exceeding $1 million, far outpacing Elizabeth Lee's totals. Traders assign high implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing on November 3 despite prior allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the primary cycle. Late developments such as renewed scrutiny of those claims, health issues, national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,296结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETMark Lamb's commanding position in the AZ-05 race stems primarily from the district's consistent Republican lean, with prior margins exceeding 20 points and a 2024 presidential performance favoring the GOP by roughly that spread. As the open seat vacated by Andy Biggs, the East Valley district delivered Lamb a decisive July primary win over Daniel Keenan after Trump endorsement and strong fundraising exceeding $1 million, far outpacing Elizabeth Lee's totals. Traders assign high implied probability to the Republican nominee prevailing on November 3 despite prior allegations of misconduct that surfaced during the primary cycle. Late developments such as renewed scrutiny of those claims, health issues, national political shifts, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow the outcome in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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