Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,127 Объем
$45,127 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Натан Натанил Моран (Р)
96%
Йоланда Принс (Д)
5%
$45,127 Объем
$45,127 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Натан Натанил Моран (Р)
$5,321 Объем
96%
Йоланда Принс (Д)
$39,806 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$45,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,127Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Nathaniel Moran’s commanding position in the Texas 1st Congressional District race stems from the district’s entrenched Republican lean, reflected in its R+51 partisan rating and Donald Trump’s 74% margin there in 2024. As the unopposed Republican nominee and two-term incumbent, Moran benefits from high name recognition, substantial fundraising, and alignment with the East Texas electorate on core issues. Yolanda Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May 2026 primary runoff but faces structural barriers in a seat consistently rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Moran incorporates these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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