Angela Gonzales-Torres leads the CA-34 general election market at 77% implied probability, ahead of incumbent Jimmy Gomez at 19.5%, following her strong second-place finish in the June 2026 top-two primary and a September poll showing her with a narrow lead. The solidly Democratic district, with a D+28 Partisan Voter Index, ensures the winner will be one of the two Democrats advancing to November 3. Recent polling momentum and Gonzales-Torres’s community organizing background in the Los Angeles area appear to have shifted trader sentiment toward the challenger since the primary results. No major late developments have altered the race trajectory in the past month, though the narrow polling margin leaves room for movement before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-34 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (физическое лицо)
$18,713 Объем
$18,713 Объем
Анджела Гонсалес-Торрес
77%
Джимми Гомес
20%
$18,713 Объем
$18,713 Объем
Анджела Гонсалес-Торрес
77%
Джимми Гомес
20%
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Angela Gonzales-Torres leads the CA-34 general election market at 77% implied probability, ahead of incumbent Jimmy Gomez at 19.5%, following her strong second-place finish in the June 2026 top-two primary and a September poll showing her with a narrow lead. The solidly Democratic district, with a D+28 Partisan Voter Index, ensures the winner will be one of the two Democrats advancing to November 3. Recent polling momentum and Gonzales-Torres’s community organizing background in the Los Angeles area appear to have shifted trader sentiment toward the challenger since the primary results. No major late developments have altered the race trajectory in the past month, though the narrow polling margin leaves room for movement before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы