Kathy Castor’s incumbency advantage and established fundraising base position her as the frontrunner in Florida’s 14th congressional district, even after 2026 redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory based on prior presidential voting. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with a plurality against a crowded field, drawing national Republican support including from the NRCC, yet early general-election polling showed Castor ahead. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s altered partisan balance and Beltran’s efforts to broaden appeal ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing captures these dynamics, with Castor’s name recognition and record of delivering federal resources outweighing the structural shift for most bettors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-14
$42,164 Объем
$42,164 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэти Кастор (Д)
64%
Майк Бельтран (Р)
35%
$42,164 Объем
$42,164 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэти Кастор (Д)
$22,070 Объем
64%
Майк Бельтран (Р)
$20,094 Объем
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s incumbency advantage and established fundraising base position her as the frontrunner in Florida’s 14th congressional district, even after 2026 redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory based on prior presidential voting. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with a plurality against a crowded field, drawing national Republican support including from the NRCC, yet early general-election polling showed Castor ahead. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s altered partisan balance and Beltran’s efforts to broaden appeal ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing captures these dynamics, with Castor’s name recognition and record of delivering federal resources outweighing the structural shift for most bettors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Объем
$42,164Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kathy Castor’s incumbency advantage and established fundraising base position her as the frontrunner in Florida’s 14th congressional district, even after 2026 redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory based on prior presidential voting. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with a plurality against a crowded field, drawing national Republican support including from the NRCC, yet early general-election polling showed Castor ahead. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s altered partisan balance and Beltran’s efforts to broaden appeal ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing captures these dynamics, with Castor’s name recognition and record of delivering federal resources outweighing the structural shift for most bettors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$42,164Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kathy Castor’s incumbency advantage and established fundraising base position her as the frontrunner in Florida’s 14th congressional district, even after 2026 redistricting shifted the seat toward Republican-leaning territory based on prior presidential voting. Mike Beltran secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with a plurality against a crowded field, drawing national Republican support including from the NRCC, yet early general-election polling showed Castor ahead. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s altered partisan balance and Beltran’s efforts to broaden appeal ahead of the November general election. Trader pricing captures these dynamics, with Castor’s name recognition and record of delivering federal resources outweighing the structural shift for most bettors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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