Washington's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote to face perennial Republican challenger Doug Basler in the November general election. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's voter base in King County suburbs have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. Basler's repeated candidacies have produced limited results in prior cycles. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or late-breaking events before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей WA-09
$51,356 Объем
$51,356 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Адам Смит (Д)
96%
Даг Бэслер (Р)
2%
$51,356 Объем
$51,356 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Адам Смит (Д)
$11,845 Объем
96%
Даг Бэслер (Р)
$39,511 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote to face perennial Republican challenger Doug Basler in the November general election. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's voter base in King County suburbs have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. Basler's repeated candidacies have produced limited results in prior cycles. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or late-breaking events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$51,356Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote to face perennial Republican challenger Doug Basler in the November general election. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's voter base in King County suburbs have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. Basler's repeated candidacies have produced limited results in prior cycles. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or late-breaking events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$51,356Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 9th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Adam Smith advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly half the vote to face perennial Republican challenger Doug Basler in the November general election. Smith's long tenure since 1997, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's voter base in King County suburbs have reinforced trader consensus around a wide margin. Basler's repeated candidacies have produced limited results in prior cycles. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include major national political realignments, unforeseen candidate developments, or late-breaking events before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы