The Missouri Supreme Court and subsequent federal rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, returning the 5th District to its Kansas City core where Democratic voters predominate. This shift undercuts the Republican legislature’s redistricting effort that stretched the district eastward to favor GOP candidates, allowing incumbent Emanuel Cleaver to campaign on familiar ground where he previously secured comfortable margins. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee who prevailed in the August primary under the contested lines, has publicly described the restored boundaries as practically unwinnable. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the long-serving Democrat, tempered by the possibility of further appellate review before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$30,199 Объем
$30,199 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эмануэль Кливер (Д)
95%
Рик Братын (Р)
3%
$30,199 Объем
$30,199 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Эмануэль Кливер (Д)
$12,253 Объем
95%
Рик Братын (Р)
$17,946 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court and subsequent federal rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, returning the 5th District to its Kansas City core where Democratic voters predominate. This shift undercuts the Republican legislature’s redistricting effort that stretched the district eastward to favor GOP candidates, allowing incumbent Emanuel Cleaver to campaign on familiar ground where he previously secured comfortable margins. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee who prevailed in the August primary under the contested lines, has publicly described the restored boundaries as practically unwinnable. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the long-serving Democrat, tempered by the possibility of further appellate review before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Объем
$30,199Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Missouri Supreme Court and subsequent federal rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, returning the 5th District to its Kansas City core where Democratic voters predominate. This shift undercuts the Republican legislature’s redistricting effort that stretched the district eastward to favor GOP candidates, allowing incumbent Emanuel Cleaver to campaign on familiar ground where he previously secured comfortable margins. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee who prevailed in the August primary under the contested lines, has publicly described the restored boundaries as practically unwinnable. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the long-serving Democrat, tempered by the possibility of further appellate review before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$30,199Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri Supreme Court and subsequent federal rulings have restored the 2022 congressional map for the November general election, returning the 5th District to its Kansas City core where Democratic voters predominate. This shift undercuts the Republican legislature’s redistricting effort that stretched the district eastward to favor GOP candidates, allowing incumbent Emanuel Cleaver to campaign on familiar ground where he previously secured comfortable margins. Rick Brattin, the Republican nominee who prevailed in the August primary under the contested lines, has publicly described the restored boundaries as practically unwinnable. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage for the long-serving Democrat, tempered by the possibility of further appellate review before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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