Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-06
$69,142 Объем
$69,142 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
$69,142 Объем
$69,142 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$39,014 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$30,128 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$69,142Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$69,142Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a U.S. Supreme Court ruling eliminated the prior majority-Black configuration of Louisiana’s 6th congressional district and produced new boundaries anchored around Baton Rouge that favor Republicans by wide margins, including a 2024 presidential vote share exceeding 60 percent for the GOP. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than seek reelection under the revised lines, leaving a crowded field of Republican state legislators and other candidates facing only limited Democratic opposition in the November 3 open primary. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan registration edge and historical voting patterns. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though a fragmented Republican primary performance that sends a Democrat into a December runoff remains the clearest path for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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