Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments. Smucker, first elected in 2016 and serving since 2017, secured an uncontested Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion advanced unopposed in her primary. Smucker maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised in the cycle compared to Mannion’s far lower totals. The district, covering Lancaster County and southern York County, has delivered consistent GOP margins in recent cycles, limiting any realistic Democratic path absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-11 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$25,794 Объем
$25,794 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ллойд Смакер (Р)
97%
Нэнси Мэннион (Д)
3%
$25,794 Объем
$25,794 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ллойд Смакер (Р)
$15,668 Объем
97%
Нэнси Мэннион (Д)
$10,126 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments. Smucker, first elected in 2016 and serving since 2017, secured an uncontested Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion advanced unopposed in her primary. Smucker maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised in the cycle compared to Mannion’s far lower totals. The district, covering Lancaster County and southern York County, has delivered consistent GOP margins in recent cycles, limiting any realistic Democratic path absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$25,794Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments. Smucker, first elected in 2016 and serving since 2017, secured an uncontested Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion advanced unopposed in her primary. Smucker maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised in the cycle compared to Mannion’s far lower totals. The district, covering Lancaster County and southern York County, has delivered consistent GOP margins in recent cycles, limiting any realistic Democratic path absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$25,794Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lloyd Smucker holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 11th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report and similar assessments. Smucker, first elected in 2016 and serving since 2017, secured an uncontested Republican primary, while Democrat Nancy Mannion advanced unopposed in her primary. Smucker maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised in the cycle compared to Mannion’s far lower totals. The district, covering Lancaster County and southern York County, has delivered consistent GOP margins in recent cycles, limiting any realistic Democratic path absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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