Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican lean, reflected in its R+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report as Solid Republican. LaLota secured reelection in 2024 by roughly five points and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Democrat Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and military veteran who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus on these probabilities draws from the district’s voting patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited signs of a competitive shift in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NY-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$44,333 Объем
$44,333 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник ЛаЛота (Р)
76%
Крис Галлант (Д)
26%
$44,333 Объем
$44,333 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ник ЛаЛота (Р)
$16,829 Объем
76%
Крис Галлант (Д)
$27,504 Объем
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican lean, reflected in its R+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report as Solid Republican. LaLota secured reelection in 2024 by roughly five points and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Democrat Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and military veteran who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus on these probabilities draws from the district’s voting patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited signs of a competitive shift in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$44,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican lean, reflected in its R+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report as Solid Republican. LaLota secured reelection in 2024 by roughly five points and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Democrat Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and military veteran who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus on these probabilities draws from the district’s voting patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited signs of a competitive shift in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$44,333Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican lean, reflected in its R+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report as Solid Republican. LaLota secured reelection in 2024 by roughly five points and maintains a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $3 million. Democrat Chris Gallant, a political newcomer and military veteran who won his June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus on these probabilities draws from the district’s voting patterns, incumbency benefits, and limited signs of a competitive shift in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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