Incumbent Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market due to her commanding primary performance, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote and advanced alongside Angélica María Dueñas in California's top-two system. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district, rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, favors the sitting representative who raised over $670,000 compared to Dueñas's $37,000. This fundraising and organizational edge, combined with Rivas's established endorsements and incumbency, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest. Dueñas sits near 7.5% amid limited visibility since the June primary, while other listed outcomes reflect minimal expected support in the general. No major late-cycle developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (физическое лицо)
CA-29 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей (физическое лицо)
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Лус Ривас
88%
Ангелика Мария Дуэньяс
7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Лус Ривас
$1,039 Объем
88%
Ангелика Мария Дуэньяс
$326 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market due to her commanding primary performance, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote and advanced alongside Angélica María Dueñas in California's top-two system. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district, rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, favors the sitting representative who raised over $670,000 compared to Dueñas's $37,000. This fundraising and organizational edge, combined with Rivas's established endorsements and incumbency, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest. Dueñas sits near 7.5% amid limited visibility since the June primary, while other listed outcomes reflect minimal expected support in the general. No major late-cycle developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Объем
$1,365Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market due to her commanding primary performance, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote and advanced alongside Angélica María Dueñas in California's top-two system. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district, rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, favors the sitting representative who raised over $670,000 compared to Dueñas's $37,000. This fundraising and organizational edge, combined with Rivas's established endorsements and incumbency, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest. Dueñas sits near 7.5% amid limited visibility since the June primary, while other listed outcomes reflect minimal expected support in the general. No major late-cycle developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$1,365Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 10:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Luz Rivas holds an 89% implied probability in the CA-29 general election market due to her commanding primary performance, where she secured roughly 51% of the vote and advanced alongside Angélica María Dueñas in California's top-two system. The solidly Democratic San Fernando Valley district, rated Safe or Solid Democratic by major forecasters, favors the sitting representative who raised over $670,000 compared to Dueñas's $37,000. This fundraising and organizational edge, combined with Rivas's established endorsements and incumbency, has shaped trader consensus ahead of the November 3 contest. Dueñas sits near 7.5% amid limited visibility since the June primary, while other listed outcomes reflect minimal expected support in the general. No major late-cycle developments have altered the positioning in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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