Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоKY-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
KY-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$40,774 Объем
$40,774 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Морган Макгарви (Д)
96%
Мария Родригес (Р)
5%
$40,774 Объем
$40,774 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Морган Макгарви (Д)
$17,773 Объем
96%
Мария Родригес (Р)
$23,000 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$40,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,774Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Morgan McGarvey holds a commanding position in the Kentucky 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, including a Cook Partisan Voting Index rating around D+10, strong Democratic voter registration in the Louisville metro area, and his status as the sole Democratic House member in the state. McGarvey advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Maria Teresa Rodriguez secured the Republican nomination in May 2026 with under 50% of the primary vote against a fragmented field and has raised limited funds compared with the incumbent’s substantial war chest. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure or national support. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and historical results, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Republican turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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