Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-02
$13,968 Объем
$13,968 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бретт Гатри (Р)
95%
Меган Уингфилд (Д)
5%
$13,968 Объем
$13,968 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Бретт Гатри (Р)
$6,297 Объем
95%
Меган Уингфилд (Д)
$7,671 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$13,968Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$13,968Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's commanding position in the KY-02 House race reflects the district's entrenched Republican advantage, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+20. The longtime incumbent, first elected in 2009 and re-nominated with 85% in the May primary, maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $4.7 million against Democratic nominee Megan Wingfield's limited resources. All major race ratings underscore minimal competitiveness, consistent with the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 95% for Guthrie aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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