Colorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,55М-2,7М 53%
2,7–2,85 млн 22%
2,4–2,55 млн 19%
2,85M-3M 6.9%
<2,1 млн
1%
2,1M–2,25M
4%
2,25M–2,4M
3%
2,4–2,55 млн
19%
2,55М-2,7М
53%
2,7–2,85 млн
22%
2,85M-3M
7%
3 млн+
1%
2,55М-2,7М 53%
2,7–2,85 млн 22%
2,4–2,55 млн 19%
2,85M-3M 6.9%
<2,1 млн
1%
2,1M–2,25M
4%
2,25M–2,4M
3%
2,4–2,55 млн
19%
2,55М-2,7М
53%
2,7–2,85 млн
22%
2,85M-3M
7%
3 млн+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Colorado's roughly 4 million active registered voters and universal mail ballot system have anchored trader expectations for the November 3, 2026, Senate contest near recent midterm levels. The June primary produced nearly 1.46 million ballots amid a competitive Democratic race, offering a baseline that, when scaled to general-election participation, aligns with the 2.55M-2.7M bracket now favored at 52.5 percent. Historical turnout in the 2022 midterm reached about 2.54 million votes, while population growth and unaffiliated voter engagement support modest increases rather than presidential-year surges. The race's Safe Democratic rating and limited national polarization reduce incentives for elevated mobilization, keeping probabilities concentrated in the 2.4M-2.85M range while discounting both lower and higher extremes. Early voting volume and demographic differentials remain the main variables that could shift these implied probabilities before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах в Сенат от Вайоминга в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 190 000 до 210 000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Огайо в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в диапазоне от 4 500 000 до 4 650 000?
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на выборах в Сенат от Техаса в 2026 году, находиться в пределах от 10 800 000 до 11 200 000?
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