The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,3–1,4 млн 33%
1,7M–1,8M 19%
1,4M–1,5M 13%
1,6M-1,7M 12%
<1,2 млн
1%
1,2М–1,3М
8%
1,3–1,4 млн
33%
1,4M–1,5M
13%
1,5М–1,6М
9%
1,6M-1,7M
12%
1,7M–1,8M
19%
1,8 млн+
<1%
1,3–1,4 млн 33%
1,7M–1,8M 19%
1,4M–1,5M 13%
1,6M-1,7M 12%
<1,2 млн
1%
1,2М–1,3М
8%
1,3–1,4 млн
33%
1,4M–1,5M
13%
1,5М–1,6М
9%
1,6M-1,7M
12%
1,7M–1,8M
19%
1,8 млн+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The open U.S. Senate seat after Mitch McConnell's retirement has elevated visibility for the November 3 contest between Republican Andy Barr and Democrat Charles Booker, yet Kentucky's strong Republican lean keeps the race non-competitive. Recent polling shows Barr ahead by nine points among likely voters, with more than one-third still persuadable and notable disapproval of federal tariffs. Turnout will likely depend on Republican rural mobilization versus Democratic efforts in Louisville and Lexington, alongside standard midterm factors such as early voting access, campaign spending intensity, and national political conditions. The spread across mid-range vote totals in trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether base enthusiasm or lower overall participation will prevail in this safely Republican environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Канзаса в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в диапазоне от 1 000 000 до 1 100 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Оклахомы в диапазоне от 1 100 000 до 1 200 000?
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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