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icon for Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)

icon for Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)
Политика·явка

Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)

275К-290К 42%

290К-305К 35%

305K-320K 21%

260K-275K 10.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

275К-290К 42%

290К-305К 35%

305K-320K 21%

260K-275K 10.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<230К

$561 Объем

<1%

230К-245К

$577 Объем

1%

245K-260K

$531 Объем

1%

260K-275K

$674 Объем

12%

275К-290К

$1,333 Объем

42%

290К-305К

$2,438 Объем

35%

305K-320K

$1,903 Объем

21%

320К+

$665 Объем

3%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola, currently rated a toss-up by forecasters with polling averages near 48-49% apiece, supports trader expectations for turnout in the 275,000–305,000 range. Recent primary participation reached about 27.7% of registered voters amid competitive top-of-ballot contests, exceeding prior cycles, while the absence of a presidential race on the November ballot tempers overall volume compared with 2024. Ranked-choice voting, an open gubernatorial contest, and national stakes for Senate control add layers of uncertainty that keep the leading turnout bins tightly matched, with potential separation from late campaign mobilization, weather on Election Day, or shifts in independent and younger voter engagement.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,682
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democrat Mary Peltola, currently rated a toss-up by forecasters with polling averages near 48-49% apiece, supports trader expectations for turnout in the 275,000–305,000 range. Recent primary participation reached about 27.7% of registered voters amid competitive top-of-ballot contests, exceeding prior cycles, while the absence of a presidential race on the November ballot tempers overall volume compared with 2024. Ranked-choice voting, an open gubernatorial contest, and national stakes for Senate control add layers of uncertainty that keep the leading turnout bins tightly matched, with potential separation from late campaign mobilization, weather on Election Day, or shifts in independent and younger voter engagement.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,682
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?

Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?

24%
Да
icon for Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Арканзаса находиться в диапазоне от 825 000 до 900 000?

Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Арканзаса находиться в диапазоне от 825 000 до 900 000?

43%
Да
icon for Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?

Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?

41%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «275К-290К» с 42%, за ним следует «290К-305К» с 35%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 42¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)» — «275К-290К» с 42%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 42%. Следующий ближайший исход — «290К-305К» с 35%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Аляски: явка (первый тур)» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.