Recent polling shows Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff holding a consistent 6- to 9-point lead over Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 3 Senate contest, sustaining high engagement in a state that remains closely divided along suburban Atlanta, rural, and minority voting lines. Primary and runoff turnout patterns—more than 1 million Democratic primary ballots versus roughly 900,000 Republican—combined with strong early-voting infrastructure and national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, anchor trader expectations near 4.1–4.3 million total votes. The narrow spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over final mobilization efforts, independent and young-voter participation, and whether base enthusiasm on either side will produce a modest surge or a typical midterm drop-off.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4.2M-4.4M 42%
4M-4.2M 35%
4.4M-4.6M 21%
3.8M-4M 2.7%
<3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
3.8M-4M
3%
4M-4.2M
35%
4.2M-4.4M
42%
4.4M-4.6M
21%
4.6M-4.8M
2%
4.8M+
2%
4.2M-4.4M 42%
4M-4.2M 35%
4.4M-4.6M 21%
3.8M-4M 2.7%
<3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
3.8M-4M
3%
4M-4.2M
35%
4.2M-4.4M
42%
4.4M-4.6M
21%
4.6M-4.8M
2%
4.8M+
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democratic incumbent Jon Ossoff holding a consistent 6- to 9-point lead over Republican Mike Collins in Georgia’s November 3 Senate contest, sustaining high engagement in a state that remains closely divided along suburban Atlanta, rural, and minority voting lines. Primary and runoff turnout patterns—more than 1 million Democratic primary ballots versus roughly 900,000 Republican—combined with strong early-voting infrastructure and national midterm dynamics under a Republican presidency, anchor trader expectations near 4.1–4.3 million total votes. The narrow spread between the leading bins reflects uncertainty over final mobilization efforts, independent and young-voter participation, and whether base enthusiasm on either side will produce a modest surge or a typical midterm drop-off.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Аляски, находиться в пределах от 290 000 до 305 000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Флориды находиться в пределах от 7 750 000 до 8 000 000?
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