The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2,8М-2,95М 38%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,5М–2,65М 10%
<2,2 млн
7%
2,2М–2,35М
9%
2,35М–2,5М
9%
2,5М–2,65М
11%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8М-2,95М
38%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1 млн+
9%
2,8М-2,95М 38%
2,65M-2,8M 32%
2,95M-3,1M 16%
2,5М–2,65М 10%
<2,2 млн
7%
2,2М–2,35М
9%
2,35М–2,5М
9%
2,5М–2,65М
11%
2,65M-2,8M
32%
2,8М-2,95М
38%
2,95M-3,1M
16%
3,1 млн+
9%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched leading ranges in the Massachusetts Senate turnout market stem from the low-competition general election environment, where incumbent Ed Markey maintains a substantial lead over Republican John Deaton in polling for the November 3 contest. Markey’s decisive primary victory over Seth Moulton in early September produced limited additional voter enthusiasm in the solidly Democratic state, contributing to expectations of typical midterm participation levels rather than elevated turnout. Traders are weighing factors such as early and mail voting volumes against historical drop-off patterns in safe seats, with no major recent catalysts yet creating clear separation among the top bins clustered between 2.65 million and 2.95 million votes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн, находиться в диапазоне от 700 000 до 750 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Флориды находиться в пределах от 7 750 000 до 8 000 000?
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