An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Теннесси: Явка
Выборы в Сенат Теннесси: Явка
2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 32.1%
1.8M-2M 25.7%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1.6M
1%
1.6M-1.8M
32%
1.8M-2M
26%
2M-2.2M
38%
2.2M-2.4M
6%
2.4M-2.6M
1%
2.6M+
3%
2M-2.2M 38%
1.6M-1.8M 32.1%
1.8M-2M 25.7%
2.2M-2.4M 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1.6M
$1,087 Объем
1%
1.6M-1.8M
$1,084 Объем
32%
1.8M-2M
$1,155 Объем
26%
2M-2.2M
$1,506 Объем
38%
2.2M-2.4M
$603 Объем
6%
2.4M-2.6M
$619 Объем
1%
2.6M+
$1,267 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ET
Объем
$7,321Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$7,321Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:22 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...An open gubernatorial contest to replace term-limited Republican Bill Lee has lifted baseline expectations for total votes cast in the November 3 Tennessee election, pushing the 2 million to 2.2 million range into the lead among traders. At the same time, the solidly Republican U.S. Senate matchup between incumbent Bill Hagerty and Democrat Marquita Bradshaw caps broader mobilization in a state that typically ranks near the bottom nationally for participation. August primaries produced elevated early voting and localized Democratic strength in Shelby County linked to recent redistricting, yet these factors have not shifted the market decisively into higher or lower bins. The tight clustering around 1.8 million to 2.2 million reflects uncertainty over how much the governor’s race will expand the electorate versus the Senate contest’s limited ability to drive turnout. Additional early-voting reports or late campaign activity could widen the spread.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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