Recent voter roll maintenance has reduced Nevada’s active registered voters to roughly 2.06 million after widespread inactivations and cancellations, narrowing the Democratic registration edge to just 672 while nonpartisan voters remain the largest bloc. This cleanup, combined with modest primary turnout near 20 percent in June, supports trader expectations for general-election participation in the 1.05–1.125 million range. The Lombardo-Ford contest, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, adds competitive pressure that typically lifts midterm turnout above the low 2022 baseline of 1.02 million, yet the absence of a presidential contest and ongoing list-maintenance effects cap upside. Early voting begins October 17, with mail ballots continuing to drive participation as they did in prior cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы губернатора Невады: явка
Выборы губернатора Невады: явка
1,05М-1,125М 45%
900K-975K 25%
1,125M-1,2M 22%
975К-1,05М 10%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
25%
975К-1,05М
10%
1,05М-1,125М
45%
1,125M-1,2M
22%
1,2M-1,275M
<1%
1,275M-1,35M
<1%
1,35 млн+
<1%
1,05М-1,125М 45%
900K-975K 25%
1,125M-1,2M 22%
975К-1,05М 10%
<900K
2%
900K-975K
25%
975К-1,05М
10%
1,05М-1,125М
45%
1,125M-1,2M
22%
1,2M-1,275M
<1%
1,275M-1,35M
<1%
1,35 млн+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent voter roll maintenance has reduced Nevada’s active registered voters to roughly 2.06 million after widespread inactivations and cancellations, narrowing the Democratic registration edge to just 672 while nonpartisan voters remain the largest bloc. This cleanup, combined with modest primary turnout near 20 percent in June, supports trader expectations for general-election participation in the 1.05–1.125 million range. The Lombardo-Ford contest, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by multiple forecasters, adds competitive pressure that typically lifts midterm turnout above the low 2022 baseline of 1.02 million, yet the absence of a presidential contest and ongoing list-maintenance effects cap upside. Early voting begins October 17, with mail ballots continuing to drive participation as they did in prior cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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