Louisiana’s November 3 Senate general election between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis occurs in a low-competition environment following the candidate’s decisive primary victories and the state’s strong Republican lean. Historical midterm turnout in Louisiana has averaged near 42 percent of registered voters, producing roughly 1.2–1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles, which aligns with the current market’s leading range. Recent party primaries and runoffs showed depressed participation—28 percent in May and 17 percent in June—partly due to the new semi-closed primary rules and limited Democratic mobilization. With no presidential contest on the ballot and the outcome widely viewed as a safe Republican hold, traders appear to price in subdued general-election engagement typical of off-year Senate races in the state, tempered by baseline registered-voter totals near three million.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,2M–1,3M 36%
1,3M–1,4M 14.1%
1,7M+ 10.7%
<1,1 млн 7%
<1,1 млн
7%
1,1М-1,2М
1%
1,2M–1,3M
36%
1,3M–1,4M
14%
1,4M–1,5M
19%
1,5М–1,6М
6%
1,6M-1,7M
6%
1,7M+
11%
1,2M–1,3M 36%
1,3M–1,4M 14.1%
1,7M+ 10.7%
<1,1 млн 7%
<1,1 млн
7%
1,1М-1,2М
1%
1,2M–1,3M
36%
1,3M–1,4M
14%
1,4M–1,5M
19%
1,5М–1,6М
6%
1,6M-1,7M
6%
1,7M+
11%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Louisiana’s November 3 Senate general election between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis occurs in a low-competition environment following the candidate’s decisive primary victories and the state’s strong Republican lean. Historical midterm turnout in Louisiana has averaged near 42 percent of registered voters, producing roughly 1.2–1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles, which aligns with the current market’s leading range. Recent party primaries and runoffs showed depressed participation—28 percent in May and 17 percent in June—partly due to the new semi-closed primary rules and limited Democratic mobilization. With no presidential contest on the ballot and the outcome widely viewed as a safe Republican hold, traders appear to price in subdued general-election engagement typical of off-year Senate races in the state, tempered by baseline registered-voter totals near three million.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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