The closely matched trader probabilities between the 400K-450K and 450K-500K turnout ranges for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest reflect the low-competitiveness dynamics of the race between incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito and Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, which typically reduces national party investment and voter mobilization in a rural state with an older electorate and historically modest midterm participation. The May 12 primaries produced no major surprises, with Capito securing the GOP nomination and Anderson advancing on the Democratic side amid lower overall primary turnout and continued Republican registration gains. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any unexpected late-cycle developments remain the primary variables that could separate the leading bins, consistent with historical non-presidential cycle patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Западной Вирджинии: Явка
Выборы в Сенат Западной Вирджинии: Явка
450К–500К 44%
400K-450K 37%
500K-550K 19%
<400 тыс. 3.9%
<400 тыс.
4%
400K-450K
37%
450К–500К
44%
500K-550K
19%
550К-600К
4%
600К-650К
1%
650К+
3%
450К–500К 44%
400K-450K 37%
500K-550K 19%
<400 тыс. 3.9%
<400 тыс.
4%
400K-450K
37%
450К–500К
44%
500K-550K
19%
550К-600К
4%
600К-650К
1%
650К+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched trader probabilities between the 400K-450K and 450K-500K turnout ranges for West Virginia's November 3 Senate contest reflect the low-competitiveness dynamics of the race between incumbent Republican Shelley Moore Capito and Democrat Rachel Fetty Anderson. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, which typically reduces national party investment and voter mobilization in a rural state with an older electorate and historically modest midterm participation. The May 12 primaries produced no major surprises, with Capito securing the GOP nomination and Anderson advancing on the Democratic side amid lower overall primary turnout and continued Republican registration gains. Early voting volumes, get-out-the-vote intensity, and any unexpected late-cycle developments remain the primary variables that could separate the leading bins, consistent with historical non-presidential cycle patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Виргинии, находиться в диапазоне от 3 000 000 до 3 250 000?
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах в Сенат от Вайоминга в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 190 000 до 210 000?
Будет ли общее количество поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Кентукки в промежуточных выборах 2026 года находиться в пределах от 1 300 000 до 1 400 000?
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