The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат штата Вайоминг: Явка
190K-210K 54%
210К–230К 28%
250 тыс.+ 6%
170K-190K 5%
<150 тыс.
3%
150К-170К
4%
170K-190K
5%
190K-210K
54%
210К–230К
33%
230К-250К
4%
250 тыс.+
6%
190K-210K 54%
210К–230К 28%
250 тыс.+ 6%
170K-190K 5%
<150 тыс.
3%
150К-170К
4%
170K-190K
5%
190K-210K
54%
210К–230К
33%
230К-250К
4%
250 тыс.+
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The leading 190K-210K turnout range reflects trader consensus on Wyoming’s solidly Republican Senate contest between Harriet Hageman and James Byrd, where limited competitiveness and typical midterm drop-off from 2024’s 271K presidential total point to participation near the 198K recorded in the 2022 general election. With roughly 340K registered voters and an August primary drawing about 150K ballots, analysts see modest rural engagement and standard absentee patterns sustaining mid-range totals absent major national catalysts. Weather on November 3 and get-out-the-vote intensity remain the main variables that could shift probabilities within the clustered mid-buckets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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