The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1,2 млн+ 23%
1,1М-1,2М 22%
1М–1,1М 18%
900К–1М 11%
<800 тыс.
<1%
800К-900К
5%
900К–1М
23%
1М–1,1М
35%
1,1М-1,2М
22%
1,2 млн+
23%
1,2 млн+ 23%
1,1М-1,2М 22%
1М–1,1М 18%
900К–1М 11%
<800 тыс.
<1%
800К-900К
5%
900К–1М
23%
1М–1,1М
35%
1,1М-1,2М
22%
1,2 млн+
23%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The market reflects trader expectations for total ballots cast in Kansas's November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate contest, a midterm featuring an open gubernatorial race alongside incumbent Republican Roger Marshall facing Democrat Adam Hamilton. Primary results from August and subsequent polling averages showing a modest Republican edge have shaped views of standard off-year engagement rather than elevated nationalized turnout. Kansas midterm participation has historically reached roughly 48 percent of registered voters, producing totals clustered in the low millions when accounting for registration trends and combined-ticket effects. The leading probabilities on 1M-1.2M outcomes align with this baseline, absent major late catalysts such as unusual early voting surges, weather events, or intensified mobilization in populous Johnson and Sedgwick counties that could shift the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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