The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы губернатора Висконсина: явка
Выборы губернатора Висконсина: явка
2,6М–2,8М 52%
2,8M–3M 26%
2,4М-2,6М 17%
3М–3,2М 5.7%
<2,2 млн
2%
2,2–2,4 млн
2%
2,4М-2,6М
17%
2,6М–2,8М
52%
2,8M–3M
26%
3М–3,2М
6%
3,2 млн+
4%
2,6М–2,8М 52%
2,8M–3M 26%
2,4М-2,6М 17%
3М–3,2М 5.7%
<2,2 млн
2%
2,2–2,4 млн
2%
2,4М-2,6М
17%
2,6М–2,8М
52%
2,8M–3M
26%
3М–3,2М
6%
3,2 млн+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by analysts with recent polls showing margins under four points, anchors trader expectations for turnout in the 2.6M-2.8M range. Elevated Democratic primary participation of 792,000 votes, or 27.2% of the voting-age population, exceeded recent cycles and reflects base mobilization amid candidate shifts and independent engagement. Historical patterns of higher participation in tight statewide contests, combined with ongoing early voting access and no major late developments altering momentum as of early September, sustain consensus around these moderate-to-strong midterm levels while leaving room for shifts from final mobilization efforts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах губернатора Пенсильвании в середине срока 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 5 000 000 до 5 500 000?
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