**In the low-intensity 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican challenger Justin Murphy, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 2.8M–3.4M total votes range because the contest is rated Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive pressure to drive broad mobilization.** Booker won his primary unopposed while Murphy prevailed in a fragmented Republican primary that drew limited participation. Historical midterm patterns show eligible-voter turnout well below the 67% recorded in 2024, though New Jersey’s Democratic registration edge and expanded early and mail voting options could support participation in urban and suburban areas. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger national or state-level campaign spending, clearer issue salience boosting turnout among key blocs, measurable early voting surges, or election-day factors such as weather.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3M-3,2M 33%
3,2M-3,4M 23%
2,8–3 млн 20%
2,6М–2,8М 10%
<2,4 млн
2%
2,4М–2,6М
7%
2,6М–2,8М
10%
2,8–3 млн
20%
3M-3,2M
33%
3,2M-3,4M
23%
3,4–3,6 млн
8%
3,6М–3,8М
6%
3,8 млн+
8%
3M-3,2M 33%
3,2M-3,4M 23%
2,8–3 млн 20%
2,6М–2,8М 10%
<2,4 млн
2%
2,4М–2,6М
7%
2,6М–2,8М
10%
2,8–3 млн
20%
3M-3,2M
33%
3,2M-3,4M
23%
3,4–3,6 млн
8%
3,6М–3,8М
6%
3,8 млн+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**In the low-intensity 2026 New Jersey Senate race between incumbent Democrat Cory Booker and Republican challenger Justin Murphy, trader consensus clusters tightly around the 2.8M–3.4M total votes range because the contest is rated Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive pressure to drive broad mobilization.** Booker won his primary unopposed while Murphy prevailed in a fragmented Republican primary that drew limited participation. Historical midterm patterns show eligible-voter turnout well below the 67% recorded in 2024, though New Jersey’s Democratic registration edge and expanded early and mail voting options could support participation in urban and suburban areas. Developments that could shift probabilities include stronger national or state-level campaign spending, clearer issue salience boosting turnout among key blocs, measurable early voting surges, or election-day factors such as weather.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на выборах сенатора от Делавэра в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 375 000 до 400 000?
Будет ли общее число голосов, поданных на выборах сенатора от Северной Каролины в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 4 100 000 до 4 300 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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