The competitive Michigan Senate contest between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, an open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations toward the 4.6M-4.8M turnout bracket. Recent polling averages show a toss-up with El-Sayed holding a narrow edge of roughly one to two points among likely voters, energizing both parties’ bases ahead of the November 3 election. The Democratic primary drew strong participation exceeding 1.5 million votes, signaling high engagement that could carry into the general election amid economic concerns including auto tariffs. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and the race’s implications for Senate control support moderate-to-high participation without catalysts for record extremes or unusually low volume.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,6М–4,8М 48.2%
4,8М–5М 20%
5,6 млн+ 18.9%
4,4–4,6 млн 8%
$11,539 Объем
$11,539 Объем
<4,2 млн
3%
4,2М–4,4М
1%
4,4–4,6 млн
8%
4,6М–4,8М
41%
4,8М–5М
20%
5M-5.2M
4%
5,2M-5,4M
2%
5,4М–5,6М
4%
5,6 млн+
20%
4,6М–4,8М 48.2%
4,8М–5М 20%
5,6 млн+ 18.9%
4,4–4,6 млн 8%
$11,539 Объем
$11,539 Объем
<4,2 млн
3%
4,2М–4,4М
1%
4,4–4,6 млн
8%
4,6М–4,8М
41%
4,8М–5М
20%
5M-5.2M
4%
5,2M-5,4M
2%
5,4М–5,6М
4%
5,6 млн+
20%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The competitive Michigan Senate contest between Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers, an open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, drives trader expectations toward the 4.6M-4.8M turnout bracket. Recent polling averages show a toss-up with El-Sayed holding a narrow edge of roughly one to two points among likely voters, energizing both parties’ bases ahead of the November 3 election. The Democratic primary drew strong participation exceeding 1.5 million votes, signaling high engagement that could carry into the general election amid economic concerns including auto tariffs. Michigan’s history of solid midterm turnout, expanded early and absentee voting access, and the race’s implications for Senate control support moderate-to-high participation without catalysts for record extremes or unusually low volume.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах сенатора от Миннесоты в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 2 750 000 до 2 900 000?
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Алабамы, находиться в пределах от 1 500 000 до 1 600 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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