The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, has produced tight trader pricing around 1.35M–1.45M total votes. An open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement, consistent polling margins under five points, and strong fundraising on both sides—particularly Turek’s small-donor base—support expectations of solid but not record midterm participation. Elevated June primary turnout reflected early interest in the high-profile contest. Separation in the market could emerge from shifts in national political conditions, late-campaign advertising intensity, or changes in likely-voter enthusiasm ahead of November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1.4M-1.45M 36%
1.35M-1.4M 29%
1.45M-1.5M 21.0%
1.3M-1.35M 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1.2M
17%
1.2M-1.25M
3%
1.25M-1.3M
7%
1.3M-1.35M
11%
1.35M-1.4M
26%
1.4M-1.45M
36%
1.45M-1.5M
21%
1.5M-1.55M
3%
1.55M-1.6M
<1%
1.6M+
5%
1.4M-1.45M 36%
1.35M-1.4M 29%
1.45M-1.5M 21.0%
1.3M-1.35M 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<1.2M
$378 Объем
17%
1.2M-1.25M
$924 Объем
3%
1.25M-1.3M
$326 Объем
7%
1.3M-1.35M
$793 Объем
11%
1.35M-1.4M
$472 Объем
26%
1.4M-1.45M
$866 Объем
36%
1.45M-1.5M
$411 Объем
21%
1.5M-1.55M
$185 Объем
3%
1.55M-1.6M
$428 Объем
<1%
1.6M+
$180 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, has produced tight trader pricing around 1.35M–1.45M total votes. An open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement, consistent polling margins under five points, and strong fundraising on both sides—particularly Turek’s small-donor base—support expectations of solid but not record midterm participation. Elevated June primary turnout reflected early interest in the high-profile contest. Separation in the market could emerge from shifts in national political conditions, late-campaign advertising intensity, or changes in likely-voter enthusiasm ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET
Объем
$4,962Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, has produced tight trader pricing around 1.35M–1.45M total votes. An open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement, consistent polling margins under five points, and strong fundraising on both sides—particularly Turek’s small-donor base—support expectations of solid but not record midterm participation. Elevated June primary turnout reflected early interest in the high-profile contest. Separation in the market could emerge from shifts in national political conditions, late-campaign advertising intensity, or changes in likely-voter enthusiasm ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$4,962Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested Iowa Senate race between Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek, rated a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, has produced tight trader pricing around 1.35M–1.45M total votes. An open seat after Joni Ernst’s retirement, consistent polling margins under five points, and strong fundraising on both sides—particularly Turek’s small-donor base—support expectations of solid but not record midterm participation. Elevated June primary turnout reflected early interest in the high-profile contest. Separation in the market could emerge from shifts in national political conditions, late-campaign advertising intensity, or changes in likely-voter enthusiasm ahead of November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на выборах сенатора от Миннесоты в промежуточных выборах 2026 года, находиться в диапазоне от 2 750 000 до 2 900 000?
48%
Да
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?
50%
Будет ли общее количество голосов, поданных на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от Алабамы, находиться в диапазоне от 1 600 000 до 1 700 000?
30%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы