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icon for Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?
Economia·Indicadores Macro

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?

icon for Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?
Economia·Indicadores Macro

Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?

set 11

out 23

set 11

out 23

Sem alteração 90%

Redução 8%

Aumento 2.7%

Polymarket

$344,818 Vol.

Sem alteração 90%

Redução 8%

Aumento 2.7%

Polymarket

$344,818 Vol.

Redução

$59,873 Vol.

8%

Sem alteração

$81,758 Vol.

90%

Aumento

$203,187 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing acceleration to 6.32% by end-August, alongside fuel supply disruptions and a weaker ruble, have reinforced pro-inflationary pressures that limit easing room for the Bank of Russia. The central bank’s July cut to 14% already reflected a more gradual path, with its updated 2026 average rate forecast raised to 14.5–14.6% amid expansionary fiscal policy and temporary production constraints. Analyst consensus ahead of the September 11 meeting heavily favors holding the key rate steady, consistent with trader positioning that assigns only modest probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction. Upcoming Rosstat figures and any fiscal signals could still influence the outcome within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$344,818
Data de Término
11 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data showing acceleration to 6.32% by end-August, alongside fuel supply disruptions and a weaker ruble, have reinforced pro-inflationary pressures that limit easing room for the Bank of Russia. The central bank’s July cut to 14% already reflected a more gradual path, with its updated 2026 average rate forecast raised to 14.5–14.6% amid expansionary fiscal policy and temporary production constraints. Analyst consensus ahead of the September 11 meeting heavily favors holding the key rate steady, consistent with trader positioning that assigns only modest probability to a further 25-basis-point reduction. Upcoming Rosstat figures and any fiscal signals could still influence the outcome within the resolution window.

This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia’s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$344,818
Data de Término
11 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 8:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sem alteração" at 90%, followed by "Redução" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?" has generated $344.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?" is "Sem alteração" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Redução" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco da Rússia em setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.