The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96-4.97% as of mid-September 2026, up roughly 80 basis points since late February, driven primarily by markets repricing Federal Reserve policy toward fewer cuts or potential hikes amid resilient growth and sticky inflation. Persistent fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy Treasury supply, and surging AI-related corporate borrowing have lifted the term premium and real yields, while energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have kept breakeven inflation expectations elevated. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with dot plot updates and fresh CPI, PPI, and retail sales data, represents the next key catalyst that could shift rate-path expectations and influence how far yields extend before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?
Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?
$389,154 Vol.
30 dez 2026
5,0%
88%
5,1%
65%
5,2%
33%
5,5%
9%
5,7%
9%
6,0%
3%
$389,154 Vol.
5,0%
$111,283 Vol.
88%
5,1%
$3,835 Vol.
65%
5,2%
$55,619 Vol.
33%
5,5%
$18,030 Vol.
9%
5,7%
$9,685 Vol.
9%
6,0%
$8,560 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96-4.97% as of mid-September 2026, up roughly 80 basis points since late February, driven primarily by markets repricing Federal Reserve policy toward fewer cuts or potential hikes amid resilient growth and sticky inflation. Persistent fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy Treasury supply, and surging AI-related corporate borrowing have lifted the term premium and real yields, while energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have kept breakeven inflation expectations elevated. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with dot plot updates and fresh CPI, PPI, and retail sales data, represents the next key catalyst that could shift rate-path expectations and influence how far yields extend before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Mercado Aberto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$389,154Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96-4.97% as of mid-September 2026, up roughly 80 basis points since late February, driven primarily by markets repricing Federal Reserve policy toward fewer cuts or potential hikes amid resilient growth and sticky inflation. Persistent fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy Treasury supply, and surging AI-related corporate borrowing have lifted the term premium and real yields, while energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have kept breakeven inflation expectations elevated. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with dot plot updates and fresh CPI, PPI, and retail sales data, represents the next key catalyst that could shift rate-path expectations and influence how far yields extend before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$389,154Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.96-4.97% as of mid-September 2026, up roughly 80 basis points since late February, driven primarily by markets repricing Federal Reserve policy toward fewer cuts or potential hikes amid resilient growth and sticky inflation. Persistent fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP, heavy Treasury supply, and surging AI-related corporate borrowing have lifted the term premium and real yields, while energy price pressures from geopolitical tensions have kept breakeven inflation expectations elevated. The September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with dot plot updates and fresh CPI, PPI, and retail sales data, represents the next key catalyst that could shift rate-path expectations and influence how far yields extend before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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