The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% as of the September 11, 2026 close, up sharply from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid a repricing toward tighter Federal Reserve policy. Persistent inflation pressures, including sticky core readings and energy price volatility tied to geopolitical tensions, have elevated market-implied odds of a federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections will be released. Larger Treasury issuance to fund elevated fiscal deficits has also lifted the term premium, pushing intermediate yields higher alongside stronger growth expectations linked to AI-related capital spending. The upcoming August CPI release and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could drive further movement in the 5-year note before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$18,789 Vol.
30 set 2026
4,90%
41%
4,83%
63%
$18,789 Vol.
4,90%
$1,669 Vol.
41%
4,83%
$4,534 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% as of the September 11, 2026 close, up sharply from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid a repricing toward tighter Federal Reserve policy. Persistent inflation pressures, including sticky core readings and energy price volatility tied to geopolitical tensions, have elevated market-implied odds of a federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections will be released. Larger Treasury issuance to fund elevated fiscal deficits has also lifted the term premium, pushing intermediate yields higher alongside stronger growth expectations linked to AI-related capital spending. The upcoming August CPI release and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could drive further movement in the 5-year note before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$18,789Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% as of the September 11, 2026 close, up sharply from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid a repricing toward tighter Federal Reserve policy. Persistent inflation pressures, including sticky core readings and energy price volatility tied to geopolitical tensions, have elevated market-implied odds of a federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections will be released. Larger Treasury issuance to fund elevated fiscal deficits has also lifted the term premium, pushing intermediate yields higher alongside stronger growth expectations linked to AI-related capital spending. The upcoming August CPI release and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could drive further movement in the 5-year note before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$18,789Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 5-year Treasury yield stood at 4.78% as of the September 11, 2026 close, up sharply from sub-4% levels earlier in the year amid a repricing toward tighter Federal Reserve policy. Persistent inflation pressures, including sticky core readings and energy price volatility tied to geopolitical tensions, have elevated market-implied odds of a federal funds rate hike at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting, where updated projections will be released. Larger Treasury issuance to fund elevated fiscal deficits has also lifted the term premium, pushing intermediate yields higher alongside stronger growth expectations linked to AI-related capital spending. The upcoming August CPI release and the FOMC decision represent the key near-term catalysts that could drive further movement in the 5-year note before month-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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