The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from August and well below consensus forecasts near 51, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range. The decline reflected broad-based drops in both current conditions and expectations components amid a resurgence in fuel prices, elevated trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Lingering effects from the earlier Iran conflict and reduced household purchasing power continue to weigh on sentiment, consistent with Goldman Sachs commentary linking weaker readings to broader declines in reported happiness and institutional trust. With the final release due September 25, traders are pricing limited scope for meaningful revision outside the current band given historical patterns around preliminary prints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado46,0 a 48,9 74%
43,0 a 45,9 21%
49,0 a 51,9 4.9%
<43,0 4.0%
$10,776 Vol.
$10,776 Vol.
25 set 2026
<43,0
4%
43,0 a 45,9
21%
46,0 a 48,9
74%
49,0 a 51,9
5%
52,0 a 54,9
<1%
55,0 a 57,9
4%
58,0+
<1%
46,0 a 48,9 74%
43,0 a 45,9 21%
49,0 a 51,9 4.9%
<43,0 4.0%
$10,776 Vol.
$10,776 Vol.
25 set 2026
<43,0
$755 Vol.
4%
43,0 a 45,9
$1,491 Vol.
21%
46,0 a 48,9
$5,784 Vol.
74%
49,0 a 51,9
$595 Vol.
5%
52,0 a 54,9
$470 Vol.
<1%
55,0 a 57,9
$1,238 Vol.
4%
58,0+
$442 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from August and well below consensus forecasts near 51, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range. The decline reflected broad-based drops in both current conditions and expectations components amid a resurgence in fuel prices, elevated trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Lingering effects from the earlier Iran conflict and reduced household purchasing power continue to weigh on sentiment, consistent with Goldman Sachs commentary linking weaker readings to broader declines in reported happiness and institutional trust. With the final release due September 25, traders are pricing limited scope for meaningful revision outside the current band given historical patterns around preliminary prints.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
Volume
$10,776Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from August and well below consensus forecasts near 51, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range. The decline reflected broad-based drops in both current conditions and expectations components amid a resurgence in fuel prices, elevated trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Lingering effects from the earlier Iran conflict and reduced household purchasing power continue to weigh on sentiment, consistent with Goldman Sachs commentary linking weaker readings to broader declines in reported happiness and institutional trust. With the final release due September 25, traders are pricing limited scope for meaningful revision outside the current band given historical patterns around preliminary prints.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$10,776Data de Término
25 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment index for September 2026 printed at 47.8 on September 11, down 3.9 points from August and well below consensus forecasts near 51, driving the 73.5% market-implied probability on the 46.0–48.9 range. The decline reflected broad-based drops in both current conditions and expectations components amid a resurgence in fuel prices, elevated trade tensions, and a jump in one-year inflation expectations to 4.6%, the highest since June. Lingering effects from the earlier Iran conflict and reduced household purchasing power continue to weigh on sentiment, consistent with Goldman Sachs commentary linking weaker readings to broader declines in reported happiness and institutional trust. With the final release due September 25, traders are pricing limited scope for meaningful revision outside the current band given historical patterns around preliminary prints.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions