Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHumberto Costa 47%
Mendonça Filho 36%
Marília Arraes 20.1%
Túlio Gadêlha 4.7%
$33,924 Wol.
$33,924 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
47%
Mendonça Filho
36%
Marília Arraes
20%
Túlio Gadêlha
5%
Eduardo da Fonte
4%
Mariano Macedo
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
<1%
Gorett Bitu
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
<1%
Humberto Costa 47%
Mendonça Filho 36%
Marília Arraes 20.1%
Túlio Gadêlha 4.7%
$33,924 Wol.
$33,924 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Humberto Costa
$10,817 Wol.
47%
Mendonça Filho
$9,361 Wol.
36%
Marília Arraes
$5,925 Wol.
20%
Túlio Gadêlha
$1,483 Wol.
5%
Eduardo da Fonte
$1,727 Wol.
4%
Mariano Macedo
$807 Wol.
<1%
Samuel Timoteo
$851 Wol.
<1%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$909 Wol.
<1%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$494 Wol.
<1%
Gorett Bitu
$629 Wol.
<1%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$433 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$490 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,924Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$33,924Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Pernambuco's October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two candidates, shows Marília Arraes (PDT) holding a clear lead for first place while Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho (PL), and Eduardo da Fonte (PP) remain tightly grouped in the battle for second. September surveys from RealTime Big Data and DataTrends place Costa and Mendonça Filho within a few points of each other behind Arraes, with substantial undecided and blank ballots sustaining volatility. Local mayor endorsements and cross-party alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra's base have not yet produced decisive separation. A scheduled debate and any late shifts in turnout or coalition messaging could still reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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